Will Katniss end up holding an Oscar?

She already has one Oscar nomination on her resume at age 21. Isn’t it likely that Jennifer Lawrence will get another one for “The Hunger Games”?

Uh, not really. But anything’s possible. Anything but winning.

The idea that Lawrence might score an Oscar for her fine turn in the year’s biggest movie so far is starting to get kicked around, but don’t get too emotionally attached to it.

For one thing, the movie has come out in March. A lot more movies will come out and they will be a lot fresher in Oscar voters’ minds come next January.

Beyond that, “The Hunger Games” is a fantasy and fantasies rarely get actor-respect. Elijah Wood never got a nomination for “Lord of the Rings,” and none of the Potter kids ever won anything substantial. No superheroes have made it to the Oscars.

The one place fantasies have been able to score Oscar nominations is technical awards, but “The Hunger Games” isn’t really all that technically amazing, so don’t expect anything there.

If they gave out an Oscar for ensemble cast, “Games” might have a shot, and many critics groups do give out such awards. But not Oscar.

Lawrence does, however have a shot at Oscar thanks to “The Hunger Games” — a few years from now, when “The Mockingjay” makes it to the screen. The final book in the trilogy, which will likely be two movies, has both a lot more emotional heft and political punch to it.

By then Lawrence should have built up a whole lot of goodwill and respect in Hollywood, the series should be confirmed as historic and Oscar voters may well be ready to reward her efforts. Again, “Rings” didn’t clean up at the Oscars until the final movie came out.

The only twist in all this is that Lawrence, who’s got to be considered the hottest serious young actress in Hollywood now, may beat herself to the punch. She could win an Oscar for some other movie before “The Mockingjay” even comes out.

But this year — nah.